Impact of 5th generation war on global security

Solly Rakgomo | Wednesday December 18, 2024 14:08

We have seen this war going on not just in our battlefields, but also in the digital world, financial systems, and even within the minds of its people. Whether states, rogue groups, or individuals, 5GW actors exploit hacking, fake news, and propaganda to penetrate nations from within. This was not a war to conquer land, but to divide trust, destabilise and create chaos.

Among the most notable instances of fifth-generation warfare took place during the 2016 presidential election in America. Social media websites, Facebook and Twitter, were manipulated by external operatives to disseminate disinformation, stoke political divisions, and undermine confidence in democratic systems. Tanks weren’t rolling over borders, planes weren’t buzzing through the air, but the impacts were grim. Taking this action was not merely an assault on a government, it was an assault on the public confidence in democracy. As such, the 2010 Stuxnet cyber attack against Iranian nuclear facilities demonstrated how strategic aims can be accomplished through a form of 5GW without recourse to traditional military action. The attack, widely attributed to the US and Israel, set back Iran’s uranium enrichment programme by disabling centrifuges. It was a stealth operation, but its reverberations were heard around the world.

This new warfare has even made non-state actors major players.

Yet, terror networks such as ISIS have leveraged the web for recruitment, propaganda dissemination, and lone-wolf attacks globally. Their virtual presence enables them to target people thousands of miles away, without necessitating border crossing and national security apparatuses. Fifth-generation warfare is characterised by the distribution of power; this means there is no physical battlefield and even the enemy themselves cannot be seen. This type of warfare has grave global implications. First of all, it questions the notion of having national sovereignty. 5GW is a scenario in which a single country-based hacker can cripple infrastructure in another country without crossing borders. A fully arranged fake news campaign can undermine a democracy half a world away. And of course, this interconnectedness also translates to zero safety for those isolating themselves; armies and border patrols barely have any effect.

The 5GW blurs the lines between war and peace, which is another cause for concern. Aggression often includes cyber attacks or disinformation campaigns but stops short of open war. This keeps the nations in a suspended state of perpetual warfare, not at peace, but never fully at war. As, for example, the persistent cyber hostilities of the US against China and Russia show, 5GW has become something that is waged on a day-to-day basis. Without clear declarations of war, the response couldn’t be decisive anymore and we are left in a sort of limbo.

In addition, the tools of conflict have been democratised by 5GW. Traditional wars require armies, weapons, and money; but the tools of 5GW are cyber attacks fake news, and propaganda which are inexpensive and easily available. This allows even small nations, groups of actors, and individuals to provoke powerful states in ways that can be disruptive. It allows a single hacker, or a small group of hackers, to execute attacks with global repercussions, drastically lowering the barrier to entry than it has ever been in human history.

Among the most destructive characteristics of 5GW, is its psychological effect. It sows discord and fear, by exploiting divisions within societies. Exacerbated by disinformation campaigns, conspiracy theories breed distrust in science, government, and the media. Such erosion of trust undermines the glue that binds communities and society. The economic costs are staggering. Trillions of dollars are thought to be lost every year just due to cyber attacks.

Dealing with the realities of 5GW needs a separate treatment. One nation will only face these threats. We need international cooperation, to develop the rules and norms governing cyberspace – and to punish those who break them. While documents such as the Tallinn Manual, which discusses international laws applicable in cyber warfare, are a move in the right direction, they are not enough and must be complemented by robust enforcement mechanisms. The other side of the coin is building resilience.

Invest in cyber security in the face of cybercrime, governments, businesses, and individuals must promote their role at any cost worldwide according to wireless safety characteristics that people must build systems and tools for immediate detection and reaction. People can be made able to recognise and counter disinformation with public awareness campaigns and coordination can be improved between the public and private sector for a more robust response to cyber attacks. Because of such things, some tech companies spot cyber threats before any government bodies as well.

Last but not least, societies need to provide solutions at the psychological level of 5GW. Building up a social capital level and trust is equally important as building, maintaining, and enhancing technological security. This means, advocating for political openness, combating for the representation of “our” narrative, as well as calling the citizens to engage in discourse.

Deeply trusting is the world, which means that a reconstruction and sustaining of confidence is a major factor in the security of states. 5GW is redesigning the character of warfare, eroding conventional security paradigms capitalising on the hyper-linking world, and appending new vulnerabilities to the list like ISIS’s warfare on social media. As these threats evolve and become more complex, the dilemma is not how to get rid of them but whether we are moving fast enough to contain them. It means that in this contemporary war without boundaries, global safety is attainable through collaboration, creativity, and endurance. It gets even more critical than this and the future of humanity will dictate how well we are going to be abreast in tackling this.